The work is being done at the University
of Surrey, where a leafy campus is dotted with rundown Brutalist-style
buildings. Here, researchers and some of the world's biggest tech
companies, including Samsung and Fujitsu, are collaborating to offer
mobile Internet speeds more than 100 times faster than anything now
available.
Their work on so-called
fifth-generation, or 5G, wireless technology is set to be completed in
early 2018 and would, for example, let students download entire movies
to smartphones or tablets in less than five seconds, compared with as
much as eight minutes with current fourth-generation, or 4G, technology.
Companies also could connect millions of devices — including
smartwatches and tiny sensors on home appliances — to the new cellphone
network, and automakers could potentially test driverless cars around
the suburban campus.
"A lot of the
technology already works in a laboratory environment," said Rahim
Tafazolli, director of the university's research center that oversees
the 5G project, which includes almost 70 powerful radio antennas around
the two-square-mile campus. "Now, we have to prove it works in real
life."
The work by Dr Tafazolli and
his team puts them at the heart of a heated race. Fueled by people's
insatiable appetite for accessing videos, social media and other
entertainment on their mobile devices, many of the world's largest
carriers, like AT&T and NTT DoCoMo of Japan, are rushing to be the
first to offer customers this next-generation ultrafast wireless
technology.
The competition has led
to research worth billions of dollars from telecommunications equipment
makers like Ericsson of Sweden and Huawei of China, which are hoping to
secure lucrative contracts to upgrade the mobile internet infrastructure
of operators like AT&T from the United States and China Mobile in
Asia. Those plans have become even faster paced as tech giants including
Google consider their own ambitions for the latest, and fastest,
high-speed Internet.
"Everyone is
rushing to demonstrate they are a leading player for 5G," said Bengt
Nordstrom, co-founder of Northstream, a telecom consulting firm, in
Stockholm.
The efforts around 5G will
be on display at Mobile World Congress, a four-day tech and telecom
event in Barcelona that begins on Monday. Most of the world's largest
operators and device makers like Samsung are expected to announce their
latest wireless technology, including smartphones, wearable products and
digital applications at the trade show.
Not
to be outdone, telecom manufacturers also have announced glitzy
demonstrations — including driverless cars, remote-controlled drones and
autonomous robots balancing balls on tablets — to showcase their 5G
credibility. The need to persuade carriers to buy the latest wireless
technology has become ever more important as operators consider cutting
investment plans in the face of a global economic downturn.
"If
we miss the chance to make our networks relevant, it will be a
disaster," said Ulf Ewaldsson, Ericsson's chief technology officer. "The
billion-dollar question is what will a 5G network look like?"
Despite companies' efforts to outspend each other, that question remains unanswered.
A
global standard for 5G wireless technology will not be finished before
2019, at the earliest. Companies worldwide must agree on how their
networks talk to each other, so users' mobile connections do not become
patchy when traveling overseas. That involves lengthy negotiations over
what type of radio waves the new technology should use, among other
complicated global agreements, which can take years.
As
a result, carriers, telecom equipment makers and tech companies are
lobbying global-standard bodies and national lawmakers to promote their
own technologies over rivals', according to industry executives and
telecom analysts. Because of this jockeying, a widespread rollout of 5G
networks is not expected until well into the next decade.
Some
analysts question why carriers are focusing on the next generation of
wireless technology when many parts of the world, particularly in
emerging markets, still suffer from achingly slow mobile internet
access. And industry experts say mobile internet speeds in much of the
developed world, especially in places like South Korea, where
connections are often comparable to traditional broadband, already meet
people's needs.
"A lot of this is
about carriers and equipment makers looking for new ways to make money,"
said Thomas Husson, an analyst at Forrester Research in Paris.
"Consumers shouldn't expect great things until after 2020."
These challenges have not stopped companies from staking a claim in hopes of being at the forefront of 5G.
That
is particularly true ahead of major global sporting events like the
Olympics and the World Cup, at which carriers and national governments
want to promote their technological know-how. At the 2018 World Cup,
which will be held in Russia, for instance, the local operators MegaFon
and MTS are expected to test 5G-style services, including ultrafast
mobile Internet, even without global standards in place.
The
Korean mobile operator KT also plans to offer its own version of 5G
technology at the 2018 Winter Olympics in Pyeongchang, South Korea, and
NTT DoCoMo has said it will have similar trials ready for the 2020
Summer Olympics in Tokyo.
"The only
way of learning is by doing," said Mats Svardh, head of networks at the
Scandinavian carrier TeliaSonera, which will test its own 5G technology
in both Stockholm and Tallinn, Estonia, in 2018. "It's about putting
pressure on ourselves to move forward with specifics, not just
theories."
United States carriers
have also jumped on the 5G bandwagon, partly to offer people new
services as current mobile speeds have become relatively interchangeable
between major operators nationwide.
Last
year, Verizon Wireless announced that it would start testing new
wireless technology in 2016 in order to offer new services, including
potentially ultrafast mobile internet, sometime next year. Last month,
AT&T countered with its own tests — expected to start in Austin,
Tex., by the end of 2016 — that could offer mobile speeds roughly 100
times faster than its current offering."We will be ready when it's
ready," said John Donovan, AT&T's chief strategy officer, who added
that traditional rivals like Verizon and new arrivals like Google could
eventually compete to offer 5G services. "Everywhere you don't solve a
problem, someone else might step in."
For
Dr Tafazolli, of the University of Surrey, whose team started working
on 5G in late 2011, these battles have led to an increasing number of
companies offering support — including the use of high-speed computer
servers, costly radio antennas and millions of dollars of financing to
research and build the next-generation wireless network on his college
campus, he said. Their primary goal: to test their latest technology in a
real-world setting.
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